In the weeks after Democrats lost their House majority in 2022, party leaders in New York – the epicenter of the implosion – jockeyed hard to deflect blame.

Republicans are likely to keep the chamber. But if Democrats flip it, the next two years will be marked by opposition.

Donald Trump won the presidency (again). Republicans won the Senate. But there’s one more big political prize to be awarded after Tuesday’s election: the House of Representatives, which could still break either way depending on what happens in the roughly 28 races that remain too close to call as of Thursday afternoon.